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Super Bowl XLVI Prediction

For the past two weeks we’ve had to endure analysis about everything from Rob Gronkowski’s ankle to Tom Brady’s haircuts. Enough of the crap – Here’s the straight facts on what will actually affect the Super Bowl tomorrow:

What the Patriots need to do to win:
– Run the ball more to set up the play-action pass. If BenJarvus Green-Ellis doesn’t show up (or they don’t use him), the Patriots will have the Giants front four in the backfield all day long. Passes in the flat the “The Law Firm” could be effective in slowing down the pass rush as well.

– Make Giants offense one-dimensional. Patriots DT Vince Wilfork needs to clog up the line like he has in the other playoff games. If the Patriots D-Line can stop Bradshaw and Jacobs from running wild, it will significantly help their chances.

– Get Gronkowski involved. Guaranteed that Gronk will be hurting for this game but the Patriots need to make the Giants fear him. He’s a match-up nightmare and he’s been a weapon for Brady all year. Somehow, he needs to make an impact.

What the Giants need to do to win:
– Get to Brady without a blitz. If they are to win, the Giants will have to pressure Brady without blitzes. If they can get him out of the pocket, Brady will get uncomfortable and make mistakes. Interceptions were how the Giants won in their last meeting – they’ll need them again.

– No free releases off the line for receivers. While the Patriots receivers are still within five yards from the line of scrimmage, the Giants secondary needs to rough them up – especially Wes Welker. If not, Brady will nickel and dime his way down the field, even if the Giants get to him quickly.

– Throw deep to your weapons. The Patriots were one of the worst teams during the regular season on pass defense. They’ve been much better in the playoffs but Tim Tebow and Joe Flacco aren’t exactly as passing proficient as Manning. The Patriots will have problems containing Cruz, Manningham and Nicks – Use them.

Final thoughts:
Just like the last few years, this Super Bowl should be fantastic and go down to the wire. If it doesn’t, at least the ads will be good.

Winner: Giants, 31-27

Agree or disagree? Let me know your winner and thoughts in the comments.


2012 NFL Playoff Predictions

Here are my predictions for the upcoming NFL playoffs. Surprisingly, the Broncos don’t make the Super Bowl. What a shocking revelation!

NFC Wildcard Round

5 Falcons vs 4 Giants
I like Matty-Ice and the Falcons but fact is they don’t perform well outdoors in the playoffs. Couple that with the fact that the Giants will be able to get a solid pass rush without a blitz and the Falcons will have a hard time winning this game.

Winner: Giants

6 Lions vs 3 Saints
Safe to say this will not be a defensive struggle, so it comes down to quarterback play and the weapons that each one of them possess. Advantage: Drew Brees

Winner: Saints

AFC Wildcard Round

5 Steelers vs. 4 Broncos
As I mentioned earlier in the season, NFL defenses have figured out Tim Tebow’s gimmicky style. It won’t help that he’s going against the top defense of them all. Despite a hobbled Roethlisberger and no Mendenhall at tailback, the Steelers cruise in this one.

Winner: Steelers

6 Bengals vs 3 Texans
Despite the Texans sucking of late, the Bengals haven’t been able to win against a real playoff-caliber team all year. That doesn’t even include the fact that Andy Dalton is sick with the flu.

Winner: Texans

NFC Divisional Round

4 Giants vs 1 Packers
The Giants won’t have the home/cold advantage anymore when they go to Green Bay. Their team won’t have the advantage either, because they’re just not as good as the Packers.

Winner: Packers

3 Saints vs 2 49ers
The 49ers defense is good and will hold the Saint offense to less than people expect. However, Alex Smith and the Niners offense still won’t keep up.

Winner: Saints

AFC Divisional Round

5 Steelers vs 1 Patriots
Unless the Steelers running game all of a sudden gets effective without Mendenhall, they will not be able to keep the Pats off the field. Despite his ankle likely still hurting, Big Ben will have a big day against the Pats secondary, but not good enough.

Winner: Patriots

3 Texans vs 2 Ravens
The Ravens big signature wins have come against the Steelers this year, They’ve also had some awful losses to the Titans, Jaguars and Seahawks (all on the road). With their aging defense having a week of rest and much of the Texans team injured, the Ravens roll.

Winner: Ravens

Note: If the Bengals pull out a win against the Texans, the Steelers will face the Ravens again. If that happens, the Steelers won’t lose to the Ravens three times in one year.

NFC Conference Championship

3 Saints vs 1 Packers
The Packers defense was exposed a few times this year and the Saints played them close, at Lambeau Field, in the first week of the year. Almost everyone on Earth thinks the Packers are going to the Super Bowl and winning it. Not I.

Winner: Saints

AFC Conference Championship

2 Ravens vs 1 Patriots
The Ravens have been pretty inconsistent on the road against awful teams. What will happen against a high-powered offense with an aging Ravens defense?

Winner: Patriots

Super Bowl XLVI

Saints vs Patriots
Welcome to the new age of the NFL. This season, and the new trend,  is all about high-powered offense and lack of dominant defenses. Drew Brees and his receiving weapons are too much for the Pats’ secondary to handle. Brady will keep pace for most of the game because the Saints aren’t stout either, but the Saints will pull it out.

World Champion: New Orleans Saints

Agree, disagree with these picks? Let me know your thoughts in the comments:

The REAL reason Tim Tebow keeps winning

I’ve finally figured it out.

Want to know the real reason Tim Tebow wins? It’s not skill, luck, tiger blood or even divine intervention. The people Timmy thanks for his improbable winning this year when he’s “Tebowing” is the proud employees of Buffalo Wild Wings. Witness below:

Just think about the latest win against the Chicago Bears. How else could you explain Marion Barber “tripping” out of bounds or the ball slipping out of his hands when the Bears were in easy field goal range for Robbie Gould?

This week the Broncos will face NFL royalty when they play Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. In order to win, Tebow will have to exploit the Patriots deplorable pass defense. However, if the Redskins could keep with the Patriots, so could Tebow and the Broncos.

If it’s close in the 4th quarter, watch out for those sprinklers or some other Buffalo Wild Wing phenomenon to work in the Broncos’ favor.

It could happen, just sayin’.